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Darren Bailey

Darren Bailey

REP

Illinois · Governor · declared

Darren Bailey is a conservative former Illinois state senator, state representative, and 2022 Republican gubernatorial nominee known for his staunch populist platform.

Metric Bars

48%
Approval
36.3%
Proj. Share
-5
Sentiment
40
Volume
30%
Positive
25%
Neutral
45%
Negative
45
Trend
Sentiment

-5

-100 to +100

Volume

40

0-100 index

Positive

30%

of mentions

Negative

45%

of mentions

Projected Vote Share

36.3%

Approval Rating

48%

Key Strength

Strong support in rural Illinois.

Risk / Vulnerability

Struggling to appeal to suburban voters.

Top Keywords

republicanconservativeruralchallengerpopulist

Impacting Events

Recent campaign updates from late August 2026 highlight Bailey's steep fundraising deficit against the Democratic incumbent.

negative· high

Bailey's recent primary coalition mobilization has maintained robust enthusiasm among downstate Illinois conservatives.

positive· medium

Anticipated autumn general election debates are expected to focus heavily on reproductive rights, posing obstacles for Bailey in the Chicago suburbs.

negative· high
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